The Daily Examiner.
The latest RNZ-Reid Research Poll indicates that the political race for political power in New Zealand has become closer since the election, but the coalition parties are still holding on to a narrow lead.
National, Act, and NZ First would return to power with 62 seats out of 120, down from their current 67 out of 123.If a general election was held now.
In the first public poll since February National registered 32.9% of the party vote, securing its place as the most popular party, but with Labour close behind on 32.3%.
Both Act on 9.4% and New Zealand First on 7.2% have increased their election night results.
The remaining parties which would be assumed as making up a left government, the Green Party and Te Pāti Māori – polled at 10% and 5% respectively.
Undecided or non-voters made up 6.1% of those polled.
The polls result would see 41 seats to National, down from the current 48. with both Act and New Zealand First Act would increase their seats by one resulting in a two seat majority..
On the left, Labour would secure 40 seats (up six), the Greens 12 (down three) and Te Pāti Māori six (no change), a combined 58 seats.
Asked about the country’s prospects, 43.5% of respondents said New Zealand was heading in the right direction under the current Government, while 40.6% said the wrong direction.
Luxon’s personal approval rating was less than Labour leader Chris Hipkins: 38.1% of voters said Luxon was performing “very well” or “fairly well” in his role compared to 42% who said “very poorly” or “fairly poorly”, giving Luxon a net result of negative 3.9%.
Hipkins scored a positive net result of 12.3% – with 41.9% approval rating and 29.6% poorly.
In the preferred prime minister stakes, Luxon’s popularity remains at 21.9%, with Labour’s Hipkins just behind on 20.9%.
Both Te Pāti Māori’s Hana-Rāwhiti Maipi-Clarke and National’s Chris Bishop appeared for their first time in a Reid Research poll on 1.2% and 1% respectively.
This story was based on an article published originally by Radio New Zealand
This poll of 1000 people was conducted by Reid Research, using quota sampling and weighting to ensure representative cross section by age, gender and geography. The poll was conducted through online interviews between 21-27 March 2025 and has a maximum margin of error of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence level.
